Sports betting can be quite profitable if a person know the secrets this “smart money” bettors use to consistently make funds. One of the primary secrets that sensible money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT to be able to bet.
Here’s a best example. My spouse and i analyzed the particular Rest of the world Virginia vs. Louisville activity, and concluded of which West Virginia had the edge in the video game. Nonetheless We also noticed that there initially were a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not guess on this game. Here is our analysis I released ahead of the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This online game provides all the indicators of being one connected with the best games involving the year, along with equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, each having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with Western Virginia coming back from becoming down large in the 4th quarter to winning around overtime.
So what’s the action appearance like this year?
If this match were as played with the natural field, West Va might probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the particular game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented roll. Many people haven’t lost due to the fact Oct. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to California Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 ROUTE games.
These kind of are some very outstanding stats that tilt this scales in favor associated with WVU to get tonight’s gaming. Plus, often nfl handicapper added in added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like very much, but in a near match-up this way, that more point will certainly make the change between a good push in addition to a loss.
But what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their final 10 home video games.
Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since 12 , 20, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points each game in your house, while averaging only giving up 15. 7 points each game from home. In case anyone did not do the math, that means given that his or her last home loss they’ve averaged beating their own opposing team by means of about 34 points per game.
Furthermore outstanding, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by simply 13 factors per game at home considering 2003.
Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?
Here’s exactly how…
Most of those stats were being accumulated during the 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They already have experienced recent games through which they’ve only scored 36, 12, 24 points. These types of online games weren’t against Kentkucky St. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
To put it succinctly of which this is still some sort of close activity to call up. Yet what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement will be to lay off this particular game and certainly not bet at all. There happen to be better games this quick with more clear-cut benefits.
The final score of the game was Louisville 44, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for some sort of TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s borders has not been so big they will can still win soon after building so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this particular game, people really serious about gambling saved money these people can offer better work with on future games.